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I don't know how much it matters in the grand scheme of things, but I tend to agree with Nate Silver that the Obama Campaign of the Future has produced totally uninspired TV ads. In particular, when I was watching the Olympics, I kept confusing them with the sort of generic, CEO-targeted high-concept ads (best comparison: the BASF "we don't make the products you buy... we make the products you buy better... it's confusing, don't worry about it" ads) you usually see during the Sunday news shows.
A little while back I said that McCain would be leading in the polls after the RNC. I was just about right.